Stocks in Asia extended a global rally, underpinned by a solid earnings season and modest gains in U.S. shares overnight, with Japan’s equity benchmarks cementing advances to two-decade highs.
The Singapore-traded SGX Nifty, an early indicator of NSE Nifty 50 Index’s performance in India, was little changed at 10,365 as of 7:00 a.m.
U.S. stocks rose as a surge in technology shares more than made up for weakness in financial firms sparked by concerns that the Republican tax bill faces an uphill battle in the Congress.
- Japan’s Topix index rose 0.7 percent, while the Nikkei 225 added 1.1 percent. They are trading at the highest since 1991 and 1992, respectively.
- South Korea’s Kospi index was little changed.
- Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index nudged higher.
- Contracts on the S&P 500 were up less than 0.1 percent.
- The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.2 percent, extending a climb to the highest in 10 years
- The New Zealand dollar rallied after the central bank flagged it may raise interest rates earlier than expected.
- China Oct. consumer prices rise 1.9 percent YoY (estimate 1.8 percent). China producer prices rise 6.9 percent YoY; estimate 6.6 percent.
Here are some key upcoming events this week:
- S. consumer sentiment probably cooled in early November from a more than 13-year high; the University of Michigan’s report is out on Friday.
- OPEC releases its World Oil Outlook.
- Malaysia and the Philippines have rate decisions on Thursday.
- West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.7 percent to $56.81 a barrel.
- Gold rose 0.5 percent to $1,281.29 an ounce.
- Copper gained 0.4 percent to $3.10 a pound.
- ICE sugar closed at 14.84 cents a pound, its highest level in over seven weeks; up 0.82 percent.
Nifty Results Today
- Tata Motors
- Hindustan Petroleum Corporation
- Aurobindo Pharma
Other Earnings Today
- Allcargo Logistics
- Amara Raja Batteries
- Bajaj Electricals
- Capacit’e Infraprojects
- CG Power
- Dr Lal Path Labs
- Granules India
- India Cements
- Indraprastha Gas
- Page Industries
- PTC India
- V-Mart Retail
Petronet LNG Q2 (QoQ)
- Revenue up 20.7 percent at Rs 7,770 crore.
- Net profit up 34.5 percent at Rs 589 crore.
- EBITDA up 20.7 percent at Rs 898.5 crore.
- Margin flat at 11.6 percent.
Bombay Dyeing Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 42.68 percent at Rs 692 crore.
- Net profit at Rs 53 crore versus net loss of Rs 37 crore.
- EBITDA up 212 percent at Rs 153.2 crore.
- Margin at 22 percent from 10.12 percent.
Muthoot Finance Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 20 percent at Rs 1,665 crore.
- Net interest income up 49 percent at Rs 1,176 crore.
- Net profit up 53 percent at Rs 454 crore.
Take Solution Q2 (QoQ)
- Revenue up 13 percent at Rs 371 crore.
- Net profit up 17.5 percent at Rs 37 crore.
- EBIT up 8.5 percent at Rs 64 crore.
- Margin at 17.25 percent from 18 percent.
JK Lakshmi Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 18.5 percent at Rs 777 crore.
- Net profit down 48 percent at Rs 13 crore.
- EBITDA up 3.2 percent at Rs 96 crore.
- Margin at 12.35 percent from 14.2 percent.
Ingersoll Rand Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue down 1 percent at Rs 161 crore.
- Net profit up 10 percent at Rs 22 crore.
- EBITDA up 36 percent at Rs 17 crore.
- Margin at 10.55 percent from 7.7 percent.
Gujarat Alkalies Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 20 percent at Rs 634 crore.
- Net profit up 22 percent at Rs 106 crore.
- EBITDA up 33 percent at Rs 162 crore.
- Margin at 25.55 percent from 23.1 percent.
ITD Cementation Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 5.3 percent at Rs 473 crore.
- Net profit up 137.5 percent at Rs 19 crore.
- EBITDA up 31.25 percent at Rs 63 crore.
- Margin at 13.3 percent from 10.7 percent.
IEX Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 9.8 percent at Rs 56 crore.
- Net profit up 10 percent at Rs 33 crore.
- EBITDA up 27 percent at Rs 47 crore.
- Margin at 83.9 percent from 72.5 percent.
Future Consumer Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 33 percent at Rs 750.5 crore.
- Net loss of Rs 8.8 crore from net loss of Rs 16 crore.
- EBITDA up 212.5 percent at Rs 12.5 crore.
- Margin at 1.7 percent from 0.7 percent.
Voltas Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 7.2 percent at Rs 1,037 crore.
- Net profit up 17.4 percent at Rs 94.6 crore.
- EBITDA up 25.5 percent at Rs 86 crore from Rs 68.5 crore.
- Margin at 8.3 percent from 7.1 percent.
Pidilite Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 7.9 percent at Rs 1,530 crore.
- Net profit up 9.1 percent at Rs 252 crore.
- EBITDA up 17.3 percent at Rs 377 crore.
- Margin at 24.6 percent from 22.7 percent.
Thermax Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue down 3.5 percent at Rs 1,033 crore.
- Net profit down 28 percent at Rs 57 crore.
- EBITDA up 3 percent at Rs 95 crore.
- Margin at 9.2 percent from 8.6 percent.
Navneet Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 6.0 percent at Rs 183 crore.
- Net profit down 11 percent at Rs 16.6 crore.
- EBITDA up 1.8 percent at Rs 28.5 crore.
- Margin at 15.6 percent from 16.2 percent.
Vardhman Textiles Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 1.9 percent at Rs 1,523 crore.
- Net profit down 71 percent at Rs 133 crore.
- EBITDA down 36 percent at Rs 198 crore.
- Margin at 13 percent vs 20.8 percent.
GSFC Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue down 3 percent at Rs 1,540 crore.
- Net profit down 36.8 percent at Rs 79 crore.
- EBITDA down 50.5 percent at Rs 97 crore.
- Margin at 6.3 percent from 12.3 percent.
Balkrishna Inds Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 18 percent at Rs 1,114.5 crore.
- Net profit down 16.5 percent at Rs 203 crore.
- EBITDA down 0.8 percent at Rs 305.5 crore.
- Margin at 27.4 percent from 32.6 percent.
Cupid Q2 (YoY)
- Revenue up 2 percent at Rs 22 crore.
- Net profit up 11 percent at Rs 6 crore.
- EBITDA up 12.5 percent at Rs 9 crore.
- Margin at 40.9 percent from 37.2 percent.
Welspun India (Q2 YoY)
- Revenue down 10 percent at Rs 1,607 crore versus Rs 1,790 crore.
- Net profit of Rs 97 crore versus net loss of Rs 147.5 crore.
- EBITDA down 34 percent at Rs 283.5 crore versus Rs 431 crore.
- Margin at 17.6 percent versus 24.1 percent.
- Exceptional loss of Rs 489 crore last year.
Stocks To Watch
- Bharti Airtel introduced new postpaid and prepaid plans.
- HCL Info gets tax demand notice for Rs 312 crore; company will appeal to authority.
- Jet Airways offers up to 30 percent discount on international flight fares till Nov.14 (Cogencis).
- Pricol entered into a joint venture with Hong Kong based-Zorg industries for the manufacture and supply of parking assistance systems for the Indian mark.
Circuit Revisions/Stock Splits
- Circuit filter revised to 5 percent: RattanIndia Infra, PTL Enterprises, Link Pharma.
- Indraprastha Gas:Ex-date for stock split from Rs 10 to Rs 2 per share. F&O lot size revised to 2,750.
- Three Pillars PTE sold its entire stake of 19.98 lakh shares or 5 percent equity stake at Rs 481.3 each.
- Merrill Lynch Markets Singapore PTE bought 2.29 crore shares or 0.6 percent equity stake at Rs 482.97 each.
- UBS Principal Capital Asia bought 2.47 crore shares or 0.6 percent equity stake at Rs 480 each.
- Bidding for HDFC Standard Life Insurance IPO continues on day 3. The issue was subscribed 1.2 times till end of day 2.
Who’s Meeting Whom?
- Supreme Industries to meet over 25 fund houses including Nalanda, HDFC MF, GS on Nov. 9.
- Cummins India to meet Goldman Sachs on Nov. 9 and Fidelity on Nov. 17.
- PNB Housing to meet ICICI Securities on Nov. 9.
- Motilal Oswal to meet UBS Global Asset Management on November 9 and Morgan Stanley Investment Managers on Nov.10.
- Kansai Nerolac to meet investors on Nov. 14-15 in Gurgoan and Nov. 29-30 in Tokyo.
- Sintex Industries promoter released 65 lakh shares from pledge.
- Bharat Gears promoter bought 3.25 lakh shares on Nov. 3 via preferential allotment.
- Bhagyanagar India promoter sold 81,700 shares in open market on Nov. 6-7
- Punj Lloyd promoter sold nearly 12 lakh shares from Nov. 3-6
- Delta corp promoter sold over 36 lakh shares in open market on Nov. 7
Rupee closed at 64.95/$ on Wednesday from 65.03/$ on Tuesday.
- Nifty November futures closed at 10,355, premium of 52 points versus 59.9 points.
- November contracts: Nifty open interest unchanged; Bank Nifty up 1 percent
- India VIX closed 2.8 percent higher at 13.6.
- Max open interest for November series at 10,500 Call (open interest at 46.8 lakhs, up 12 percent.)
- Max open interest for November series at 10,000 Put (open interest at 55 lakh, down 3 percent.)
- In ban:DHFL, HDIL, Indiabulls Real Estate, India Cement, Infibeam, Jet Airways, JSW Energy, Reliance Communications
- New in ban:Jet Airways
- Out of ban:Wockhardt
Only intraday positions can be taken in stocks which are in F&O ban. In case of a rollover of these intraday positions, there is a penalty.
- Nifty PCR at 1.36 from 1.43
- Nifty Bank PCR at 0.91 from 1.01
UBS on United Breweries
- Maintained ‘Sell’; hiked price target to Rs 825 from Rs 760.
- Price increases provided uplift in margin during the previous quarter.
- Market share gain may not be sustainable.
- Price hikes to impact demand elasticity in the medium to long-term.
- Current valuation is rich given regulatory uncertainty and competitive threats.
Kotak Securities on United Breweries
- Maintained ‘Sell’ with price target of Rs 1,138.
- Previous quarter was a blockbuster, driven by strong volume surprise
- Strong margins led by volume growth and tight cost controls
- September quarter may have benefitted from the Goods and Services Tax.
- Strong beat likely to drive upgrades to estimates.
CLSA on Shree Cement
- Maintained ‘Underperform’; hiked price target to Rs 19,500 from Rs 18,750.
- Previous quarter results were ahead of estimates led by lower than expected decline in realisations.
- Sequential contraction in unit Ebitda but less than forecast.
- Going forward, price hike to offset the impact of higher petcoke prices.
Nomura on Shree Cement
- Maintained ‘Buy’ with price target of Rs 23,500.
- September quarter results were in line; Shree Cement remains top pick.
- Cement sector on point of a multi-year cyclical upturn.
- Volume growth to get better in the second half, led by government initiatives.
- Expect 17-23 percent volume growth, improved utilisation and pricing over the financial years till March 2020.
- Expect earnings to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 33 percent over the financial years till March 2020.
UBS on Bharat Forge
- Maintain ‘Neutral’ with price target of Rs 620.
- previous quarter displayed a solid sequential growth across segments; Expect further improvement sequentially.
- Potential defense order wins under ‘Make in India’ program to drive re-rating.
- Expensive valuations but U.S. trucks and oil and gas likely to improve further in the second half of the current financial year.
Deutsche Bank on Bharat Forge
- Maintained ‘Buy’; hiked price target to Rs 775 from Rs 725.
- strong revenue traction continued during the previous quarter
- Expect revenue and earnings per share to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 15 percent and 35 percent respectively over the financial years till March 2020.
- New facility should to enhance company’s revenue profile over the next five years.
- Expect recovery in the business drivers in most of the end-markets.
Antique on Bharat Forge
- Maintained ‘Buy’; hiked price target to Rs 904 from Rs 626; Potential Upside of 24 percent.
- Previous quarter was above estimates led by strong volume growth and improving product mix.
- Strong volume growth seen across geographies and segments.
- Outlook for Class 8 trucks and industrials remain positive.
- Expect revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 12 percent over the financial years till March 2020.
- Consolidated margin for the next two financial years to be at 23.4 percent and 25.4 percent respectively.
Edelweiss Investment on Lumax Industries
- Initiated ‘Buy’ with price target of Rs 2,560; Potential Upside of 38 percent.
- Company focused on cost reduction and process improvement to improve profitability.
- Scaling up the value chain to LED is a step forward in right direction.
- Rising mix of LEDs to benefit topline growth and profitability.
- Expect LED share in revenue to increase to 22 percent 40 percent during the current financial year and financial year ending March 2020.
- Expect revenue and net profit to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 16 percent and 35 percent respectively over the financial years till March 2020.
- Expect Ebitda margins and net profit margins to improve by 200 basis points and 250 basis points by March 2020.
- Positives: Healthy auto demand; increasing premiumisation in passenger vehicles, rising mix of LED, process improvement and cost efficiency.
Nomura on CESC
- Maintained ‘Neutral’ with a price target of Rs 948.
- Previous quarter’s standalone earnings were in line, healthy show by BPO, retail metrics weak, but EBITDA positive, short-term PPAs help Chandrapur.
- Progress on business restructuring remains the near-term focus.
- Turnaround of Chandrapur and Spencer’s could lead to earnings uptick which holds key in medium term.
Power Grid and NTPC are top picks in the sector.
- Deutsche Bank on GSK Consumer
- Maintained ‘Buy’ with a price target of Rs 6,500.
- Potential reduction in GST rates for malted food drink is a short-term catalyst.
- Reduction in GST could drive penetration-led growth .
- Would give company a breather in correcting the price-value equation.
Nomura on Ashok Leyland
- Maintained ‘Buy’ with a price target of Rs 140.
- Previous quarter results were below estimates.
- Await clarity on the share of defence, spare parts revenues during the quarter.
- Remain positive on medium and heavy commercial vehicle industry growth and factor in the next two financial years by 15 percent and 20 percent respectively.
- Rising higher tonnage share should be a key positive.
CLSA on IRB Infra
- Maintained ‘Buy’ with a price target of Rs 320.
- Core traffic which was hit by GST returned to normal and is tracking well.
- Construction revenue up 3 percent year-on-year; The best is likely in last quarter of the current financial year.
- Expect pick-up in BOT revenue and EPC order wins improve revenue visibility until the next financial year.
- Triggers: new concession wins under ‘Bharatmala’, financial closure of toll way, credit rating upgrade and Ahmedabad claim acceptance.
Credit Suisse on Arvind
- Maintained ‘Outperform’; hiked price target to Rs 540 from Rs 450
- Previous quarter was a muted quarter for textile, brands did normal.
- Triggers: continuing high revenue growth, expanding margins, and re-rating.
- Process for listing new companies may take about eight months.
- Fashion business valuation suggest slight premium.
- Textile business valued reasonable may have low downside risk.